Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000174 0.000194 0.000216 0.000241 0.000269 0.000300 0.000335
2025-06-29 0.000145 0.000173 0.000205 0.000243 0.000289 0.000341 0.000406
2025-07-06 0.000124 0.000156 0.000194 0.000243 0.000305 0.000379 0.000475
2025-07-13 0.000106 0.000140 0.000183 0.000241 0.000316 0.000411 0.000540
2025-07-20 0.000095 0.000132 0.000180 0.000247 0.000338 0.000457 0.000626
2025-07-27 0.000085 0.000123 0.000174 0.000248 0.000353 0.000496 0.000706
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000115 0.000168 0.000249 0.000366 0.000532 0.000782
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000106 0.000161 0.000246 0.000374 0.000561 0.000852
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000101 0.000157 0.000248 0.000389 0.000599 0.000937
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000094 0.000151 0.000244 0.000394 0.000625 0.001005
2025-08-31 0.000052 0.000089 0.000146 0.000243 0.000403 0.000655 0.001082
2025-09-07 0.000048 0.000084 0.000142 0.000244 0.000414 0.000689 0.001166
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000079 0.000137 0.000241 0.000421 0.000719 0.001249
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000076 0.000136 0.000245 0.000439 0.000767 0.001364
2025-09-28 0.000038 0.000073 0.000133 0.000246 0.000452 0.000808 0.001473
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000069 0.000129 0.000244 0.000459 0.000839 0.001564
2025-10-12 0.000034 0.000067 0.000129 0.000251 0.000481 0.000900 0.001714
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000065 0.000127 0.000253 0.000496 0.000946 0.001841
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000062 0.000125 0.000253 0.000507 0.000988 0.001961
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000059 0.000121 0.000250 0.000513 0.001018 0.002063
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000057 0.000119 0.000252 0.000527 0.001066 0.002202
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000054 0.000115 0.000249 0.000530 0.001094 0.002302
2025-11-23 0.000023 0.000052 0.000112 0.000248 0.000538 0.001130 0.002422